History

How the index has moved

16% today, unchanged since tracking began on November 1, 2026.

The index over time

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 1Nov 2 16%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 1Nov 2 16%

Daily value, 0–100% scale. The index only changes when someone gives a new estimate, joins the list, or an estimate ages out.

By group

Each group’s median, on the same 0–100% scale. A gap means the group had too few counted estimates to be in the index that day.

AI industry leaders 22.5%

0% 50% 100%

AI safety researchers 75%

0% 50% 100%

Public voices 7.5%

0% 50% 100%
Table of daily values
DayIndexAI industry leadersAI safety researchersAI & computer science researchersPublic voices
2026-11-0215.8%22.5%75%9%7.5%
2026-11-0115.8%22.5%75%9%7.5%

Data: /api/v1/history (JSON, CC BY 4.0).